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BASKETBALL

 

ANALYSIS OF KENTUCKY BASKETBALL
WITH TEAM AVERAGES FROM 2000 THROUGH 2009
AND COMPARED TO 1996 CHAMPIONSHIP QUALITY

 

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SEC TOURNAMENT-PROJECTED
BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTED FINAL SEC STANDINGS
(Note: Match ups for all games Automatically Change As Either
Project SEC Final Standings Change or
As Actual SEC Tournament Results Change Future Tournament Match Ups)

Projected SEC Final Standings Based On Actual Results To Date, AND
SEC Projections For Remaining Games Based On NGE

Based on The Current SEC East and West Standings
AND the Current Adjusted NGE For Each Team

 

 

2011 SEC TEAM DATA
FOR TOURNAMENT SEEDING AND NGE ANALYSIS

SUMMARY OF PREDICTED V ACTUAL GAME BY GAME RESULTS

 

FIRST ROUND GAMES-PROJECTED

 

QUARTER FINAL GAMES-PROJECTED

 

SEMI-FINAL GAMES-PROJECTED

 

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME-PROJECTED


To Data Tables for Games Against Team Ranked RPI Top 50

The above data is presented in the next series of tables providing more detail in two respects.  First, the tables examine more categories of statistics, and second, the data is sorted based on the following factors, in the order shown below:

  1. All Games
  2. All Games-D1 [No Exhibitions]
  3. Home
  4. Away
  5. Neutral Court
  6. Non-Conference
  7. SEC
  8. RPI Top 50
  9. RPI Over 50
  10. Post Season Play
  11. Games Since Louisville Game
  12. SEC Tournament

You may link to any of these sorted data pages using the links above, or you can browse them in sequence using the "Continue" buttons at the bottom of each page.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE: In 2009-10, the Kentucky basketball team's rebounding became so dominant in the first 10 games that the differences created by a varied definition of a possession became substantial, and based on a 10 game comparison of predicted and actual results using the original definition and the Pomeroy definition, I have decided to start using the Pomeroy definition for a possession beginning with the 2009-10 season, and thereafter. However, I have no means to convert the data for all prior seasons to this new definition at this time. Therefore, any attempts to compare pace and efficiency derived values for 2009-10 and later with any prior season's posted values will fail. The differences are:

1. Pace values will be lower, by the number of offensive rebounds.

2. Efficiencies will be higher due to the lower number of total possessions

3. Turnover rates will be higher due to the lower number of possessions.

CHECK OUT THESE OTHER ANALYTICAL WRITINGS

What Is Basketball?

What is a Possession?

Change in Position on Definition of Possessions

What Is Net Game Efficiency?

Why Do "Upsets" Occur?

Do Objective Performance Measures Like NGE
Account For Intangible?

 

 

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SugarHill Communications of Kentucky
All Rights Reserved