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2018-19 Season Analytical Writings
A major computer crash took TheProfessor out of circulation for a few days, and while the recovery process continues, I have recovered enough to resume my basketball analysis and data processing. Thanks to The Cloud!!!!
The Cats won both games in their homestand, beating Texas A&M by 11 and Vanderbilt by 9. Now the Cats take to the road again to face Georgia.
Georgia enters this game with a 9-6 record. Georgia's most impressive wins of the season were by 11 at #81 Georgia Tech and by 19 over #67 Vanderbilt in Athens, and thus far, Vanderbilt is their only opponent that the Cats have also faced this season. Georgia's most embarrassing loss has to be the 46 point pounding they received in Knoxville by #6 Tennessee. However, it is difficult to explain away Georgia's loss to #123 Georgia State by 24 on a neutral court. Georgia enter tonight's game 1-2 in the SEC, having lost at #9 Auburn on Saturday. The DAWGS' schedule to date has a SOS value of 0.0211 ppp (#97). Overall, #124 Georgia's ANE stands at 0.076 ppp, but over their last 5 games, the DAWGS has improved to 0.133 ppp.
The Cats' schedule has a SOS value of 0.0216 ppp (#96). The Cats' ANE for the season stands at 0.211 ppp and their ANE over the last 5 games is 0.296 ppp.
The ANE (Last 5 game basis) analysis indicates a UK margin of 9 points, 77-68, in a game played at a pace of 76 possessions. As a matter of record, the traditional ANE analysis indicates a 6-point Kentucky advantage (76-70). Pomeroy has this game as 5 points in Kentucky's favor, 75-70, at a pace of 70 possessions.
Due to work obligations, I missed the game. Cats won by 20 points, 69-49.
UK scored its 69 points on 65 possessions (1.062 ppp) for the game, and GEORGIA scored its 49 points on 65 possessions (0.754 ppp).
Kentucky won the battle of the boards, with a rebounding edge 43-35 and Kentucky won the battle on the offensive glass 14-12. Georgia won the second chance point battle 6-2. GEORGIA had an offensive efficiency of 0.662 ppp on its 65 first chance possessions and 0.500 ppp for its 12 second chance possessions. UK had 1.031 ppp on its 65 first chance possessions and 0.143 ppp on its 14 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed 37.8%o f its misses as offensive rebounds while GEORGIA was able to convert 29.3% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.
UK hit well from the free throw line in this game, making 9-11 [81.8%]. GEORGIA made 11-16 [68.8%] for the game. Field goal shooting for UK was 28-64 overall [43.8%] and 4-11 from long range [36.4%]. For Georgia, their field goal shooting from inside the arc was 13-29 [44.8%] and from long range, GEORGIA hit 4-27 [14.8%].
The Cats committed 10 turnovers, one for every 6.5 possessions. The Cats forced 14 GEORGIA turnovers, one for every 4.6 possessions.
Next Game On Schedule: Saturday afternoon at Auburn for the seventeenth regular season game, and fifth game of the 2019 SEC season.
Submitted by Richard Cheeks
Submitted by Richard Cheeks