2017-18 Gateway To Basketball Season

The 2018-19 Cats Gets To A Four Game Test Drive Their
In the Bahamas. Here are the individual efficiencies,
updated after each of the four games.

Exhibition Games Individual Efficiency
An Early Warning Sign of Trouble Ahead For This Team

Over the Last 17 Seasons, The NCAA Champion
Has Been The Most Efficient or
nearly the most efficient team on the season 14 times

9 of the 17 Champions have ended the season with the #1
Adjusted Net Efficiency (ANE) (52.9%)

The 3 outliers were:
#8 Syracuse in 2003,
#10 UConn in 2011, and
#15 UConn in 2014.

These 17 Championship Teams
Have Demonstrated
A Consistent Profile
of Player Individual Efficiencies

They have 8 players who both play
in a sufficient number of games and
log a sufficient number of minutes
to contribute to the team's success.

They have on average 1 player
with an individual efficiency
greater than 0.4 points per possession

They have on average 4 players
with an individual efficiency
between 0.2 and 0.3 points per possession

They have on average 8 players
with an individual efficiency
between 0.0 and 0.2 points per possession

They have NO CONTRIBUTING PLAYERS
with a negative individual efficiency!!!

HERE ARE THE DATA

CLICK IMAGE FOR FULL SIZE VIEW

THIS PAGE PROVIDES EVERY BIG BLUE FAN A GATEWAY
INTO THE 2018-19 BASKETBALL SEASON

The Data provided on this and other pages relevant to the current season will update
following each UK game and at other times as indicated by other activity in college basketball

The 2018 SEC Tournament Is Coming in March
Wednesday March 7-Play In Games (Bottom 4 Teams)
Thursday March 8-First Rouund Games (All But Top 4 Teams)
Friday March 9-Quarter Final Games (Top 4 meet 4 First Round Winners)
Saturday March 10-Semifinal Games
Sunday March 11-Championship Game

(The Information Provided Until March 4, 2018 Is Based On Projected Final Finish AND Current ANE Data for Teams.
This will be updated at least weekly until March 4, 2018)

Scoring is the Product of Tempo and Efficiency
Here is How The Factors Have Varied
( Source: http://www.kenpom.com )

TOP 20 ADJUSTED OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
(Offense on Left; Defense on Right)

Since 2002, almost every NCAA Tournament Champion
has satisfied three efficiency based criteria:

1. A top 8 overall efficiency,
2. An offensive and a defensive efficiency each the top 20, and
3. An ANE > 0.3 points per possession

Currently, 5 of the Top 8 Teams
Appear in both the top 20 offensive and top 20 defensive ratings

CRITERION 3.

Of these teams, five currently have an ANE > 0.3 ppp

#1 Gonzaga, #2 Virginia, #3 Duke, #4 Michigan State, and #6 UNC

Many People Say
"This Year There Are No Dominant Teams and the NCAA Is Wide Open"
Is that the case in 2019?
Is it really ever the case?

2018-19 All Opponent Game Projections
Sorted On Theoretical Game Margin
(Lowest to Highest)

2018-19 Schedule with predicted and actual result
With Pre-game Margins Provided by ANE and Pomeroy

Follow the 2018-19 Cats From a Mid-summer analysis of the Bahamas Tour,
of the roster, to pre-season predictions, and then game by game analysis.
You can use the following link to start the reading in sequence,
or you can select links to specific installments below:

01 What If Analysis for 2018-19 Season

02 Exhibition #1 Against Transy

03 Exhibition #2 Against IUP

04 Let the Games Begin; Kentucky Duke Square Off In Champions Classic

05 After Being AWOL Against Duke and SIU, Cats Come Out of Hiding To Take Down North Dakota

06 The Cats Came Out of Hiding Against SIU; Will The Cats Sustain That Effort Against VMI

07 The Cats Slip Into Bad Habits Again; Are These The Real Cats in 2018-19?

08 The Cats' Bad Habits Continue Their Slide.
Can They Reverse This Trend Against Tennessee State?

09 The Get Their Last Cupcake of the Season against Monmouth

10 Cats Face UNC Greensboro, Their Toughest Opponent Since The Opening Game

11 Cats Continue To Raise The Level Of Opposition, Face Seton Hall in MSG

12 Cats Return Home To Finish the Fall Semester, then Play Utah

13 Cats Venture Out of Rupp To Face Powerful UNC in Chicago

14 Cats Come Off Huge Win Over UNC and Take on Louisville in the YUM

15 Have The Cats Really Transformed Into A Championship Team Before Our Eyes?

16 Cats Stumble At Alabama Coming Out of the SEC Starting Gate
Cats Look To Reestablish Their Strength At Home Against Texas A&M

17 On The Road Again Tonight At Georgia

18 Cats Remain On the Road at #10 Auburn

19 Cats Return To Rupp After 2-0 Road Trip To Face Mississippi State

20 Cats Face Kansas In the 2019 SEC-Big 12 Challenge

21 Cats Travel To Nashville To Face Vanderbilt

22 Cats Remain On The Road At Florida

23 Cats Return To Rupp and Face South Carolina On A Roll

24 Cats Travel For Rematch Wtih Mississippi State

25 Cats Return To Rupp To Compete For SEC Championship

26 Cats Face Tennessee At Rupp

27 Cats Head To Columbia, Missouri To Face Tigers

28 Cats Finally Get Home From Missouri To Face Auburn Without Reid Travis

29 Next Up For The Cats-Arkansas at Rupp

30 Cats Head To Knoxville For Huge Game

31 The SEC Race Ended For Cats In Knoxville

32 Cats Close Out 2018-19 Season At Rupp Against Florida

32A Has Kentucky Been Inconsistent During This Season?

33 Cats Open Defense of the SEC Tournament Crown Against Alabama

34 Cats and Vols Collide For Third Time In SEC Semifinals

35 Cats Start Their Journey For #9 Against Abilene Christian

36 WOFFORD AT JACKSONVILLE IN GAME 34-NCAA SECOND ROUND

37 Cats Advance To Sweet 16 Without P J Washington.
Will the Cats Have To Face Houston Without Him?

38 Cats Get P J Washington Back Just In Time To Advance Past Houston To Elite 8

Buttons at the Bottom of Each Page.
To Return to "BigBlueFans4UK" Domain,
Use one of the Navigation Buttons in the Left Frame