BIG BLUE FANS FOR
ANALYSIS OF THE NEXT
KENTUCKY BASKETBALL GAME
PREDICTION OF GAME OUTCOME
BASED ON NGE METHODS
These NGE analyses are dynamic and change day to day
prior to the game as the available database
expands with additional play.
To a Comparison of Current Performance To NCAA D1 Averages
and Comparison of Efficiency, Pace, and Scoring to Prior Years
- All Games
- All Games-D1 [No Exhibitions]
- Neutral Court
- RPI Top 50
- RPI Over 50
- Post Season Play
- Games Since Louisville Game
- SEC Tournament
IMPORTANT NOTE: In 2009-10, the Kentucky basketball team's rebounding became so dominant in the first 10 games that the differences created by a varied definition of a possession became substantial, and based on a 10 game comparison of predicted and actual results using the original definition and the Pomeroy definition, I have decided to start using the Pomeroy definition for a possession beginning with the 2009-10 season, and thereafter. However, I have no means to convert the data for all prior seasons to this new definition at this time. Therefore, any attempts to compare pace and efficiency derived values for 2009-10 and later with any prior season's posted values will fail. The differences are:
1. Pace values will be lower, by the number of offensive rebounds.
2. Efficiencies will be higher due to the lower number of total possessions
3. Turnover rates will be higher due to the lower number of possessions.
CHECK OUT THESE OTHER ANALYTICAL WRITINGS
What Is Basketball?
What is a Possession?
Change in Position on Definition of Possessions
What Is Net Game Efficiency?
Why Do "Upsets" Occur?
Do Objective Performance Measures Like NGE
Account For Intangible?
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SugarHill Communications of Kentucky
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