BIG BLUE FANS FOR

BASKETBALL

 

THIS IS THE SEC TOURNAMENT GATEWAY FOR THE 2018 TOURNAMENT

THE STANDINGS SHOWN AT THIS TIME ARE PROJECTIONS BASED
ON CURRENT STANDINGS AND PROJECTED RESULTS FOR ALL TEAMS
OVER THE REMAINING SCHEDULED GAMES,
WITH THE APPLICATION OF SEC TIE-BREAKERS AS REQUIRED

 

THIS PAGE WILL BE UPDATED AS STANDINGS CHANGE
OVER THE LAST 3 WEEKS OF THE REGULAR SEC SEASON

 

ANALYSIS OF KENTUCKY BASKETBALL
WITH TEAM AVERAGES FROM 2000 THROUGH 2018
AND COMPARED TO 1996 CHAMPIONSHIP QUALITY

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SEC TOURNAMENT BRACKETS AND PROJECTED RESULTS
BASED ON FINAL SEC STANDINGS
AND REGULAR SEASON ANE

CURRENT SEC STATISTICS AND PROJECTED FINAL SEC RECORD

PROJECTED TOURNAMENT SEEDING

SUMMARY OF PREDICTED V ACTUAL GAME BY GAME RESULTS

FIRST ROUND GAMES-PROJECTED

 

SECOND ROUND GAMES-PROJECTED

 

QUARTER FINAL GAMES-PROJECTED

 

SEMI-FINAL GAMES-PROJECTED

 

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME-PROJECTED

 

This Tournament, I will be tracking an alternative predictive model, using median ANE rather than mean ANE values for each team. Here is the prediction v actual table for this alternative. The major outcome difference is Missouri beating UK in the quarterfinals using the alternative modeling.

 


To Data Tables ANE Top 100

Data for UK Teams 1996, and 2000 Through 2017 for Each Sort Category
Noted Below:

  1. All Games, Including Exhibitions
  2. All Games-D1 [No Exhibitions]
  3. Home
  4. Away
  5. Neutral Court
  6. Non-Conference
  7. SEC
  8. Pomeroy Top 50
  9. Pomeroy Over 50
  10. Post Season Play
  11. Games Since Louisville Game, 2003-2018
  12. SEC Tournament Gateway
  13. NCAA Tournament

 

 

You may link to any of these sorted data pages using the links above, or you can browse them in sequence using the "Continue" buttons at the bottom of each page.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE: In 2009-10, the Kentucky basketball team's rebounding became so dominant in the first 10 games that the differences created by a varied definition of a possession became substantial, and based on a 10 game comparison of predicted and actual results using the original definition and the Pomeroy definition, I have decided to start using the Pomeroy definition for a possession beginning with the 2009-10 season, and thereafter. However, I have no means to convert the data for all prior seasons to this new definition at this time. Therefore, any attempts to compare pace and efficiency derived values for 2009-10 and later with any prior season's posted values will fail. The differences are:

1. Pace values will be lower, by the number of offensive rebounds.

2. Efficiencies will be higher due to the lower number of total possessions

3. Turnover rates will be higher due to the lower number of possessions.

CHECK OUT THESE OTHER ANALYTICAL WRITINGS

What Is Basketball?

What is a Possession?

Change in Position on Definition of Possessions

What Is Net Game Efficiency?

Why Do "Upsets" Occur?

Do Objective Performance Measures Like NGE
Account For Intangible?

 

 

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SugarHill Communications of Kentucky
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