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2008-09 Season Analytical Writings

24
Cats Return to the SEC Road For 4th Road Game in First 6 SEC Games
Tonight: Mississippi

Due to the Ice Storm and power outage, no pre-game and no in-game discusssions for this game.

The Cats fell for the first time in 2009 to a SEC opponent, Ole Miss, 85-80.

UK scored its 80 points in a total of 89 possessions for the game for an offensive efficiency of 0.899 ppp. MISSISSIPPI scored its 85 points on a total of 89 possessions for a defensive efficiency of .0.955 ppp.

Mississippi won the total rebounding battle, 45-40, and the Rebels won on the offensive glass 15-14. Kentucky converted their 14-second chance into 23 points while MISSISSIPPI converted its 15-second chances into 19 points.

MISSISSIPPI had an offensive efficiency of 0.832 ppp on its 74 first chance possessions and 1.267 ppp for its 15-second chance possessions. UK had 0.760 ppp on its 75 first chance possessions and 1.643 ppp on its 14-second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed a below average 31.8% of its misses as offensive rebounds while MISSISSIPPI was able to get an above average 36.6% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds. The Cats committed one turnover for every 8.9 possessions and forced MISSISSIPPI into one turnover in every 8.9 possessions.

UK was at their season average from the free throw line in this game, making 23-29 [79.3%]. MISSISSIPPI made 19-28 [67.9%] for the game. Field goal shooting for UK was 25-65 overall [38.5%] including a below average 7-28 from long range [25.0%]. For MISSISSIPPI, their field goal shooting from inside the arc was a good 18-39 [46.2%] and MISSISSIPPI shot well from long range, 10-26 [38.5%].

Prior to the game, the NGE analysis predicted an 4 point Kentucky win [74-70], and the outcome was different, 80-85. The NGE analysis predicted an offensive efficiency of 0.880 ppp and the actual offensive efficiency was 0.899 ppp. The NGE analysis also predicted a defensive efficiency of 0.833 ppp, and the actual defensive efficiency was 0.955 ppp. Based on the variance from predicted values, the offensive “grade” is “C” and the defensive “grade” is “D+” as shown below.

[img]http://bigbluefans4uk.com/2008-09DataandWritings/2008-09_DD_Predictions/Performance Grades/21_Grades_@MISS.jpg[/img]

Next Game On Schedule:

Saturday afternoon, January 31, 2009, the Cats will play South Carolina in Rupp Arena. The Cats will carry a 5-1 conference record into the game.

Submitted by Richard Cheeks

Submitted by Richard Cheeks

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