BIG BLUE FANS FOR

BASKETBALL

The Gateway To The 2020 SEC Tournament Is Now Open At This Link

The Projected Seedings are based upon all games played through February 21, 2020

The Projected Seedings will be updated on Sundays and Thursdays
following the games on Saturdays and Midweek until the end of the season

During the tournament, the gateway will update as games are played.

Every Year, Some Fans and Commentators say
1. Upsets are on the rise, and
2. There has never been more PARITY

ARE THESE STATEMENTS ACCURATE?

How does the 2020 UK Team Stack Up With UK Teams Since 1997?

A Championship Quality Team is Top 8 ANE and Top 20 AOE and ADE
Based on Historical Profiles Of Champions Since 2002

PROJECTED NCAA FIELD AND SEEDINGS
BASED ON ANE VALUES AND CONFERENCE AUTOMATIC BIDS
Based on ANE Rankings as of Date Shown in Table

Projected ANE NCAA Tournament Seedings

Present Projections Have Kentucky an 8 seed in the South (Baylor)
Kentucky's First Round Opponent Would Be 9 Seed Utah State

Kentucky Upset Rates for 2019-20

Kentucky Upset Rates
2012-2020

NCAA Upset Rates
2011-2020

NCAA UPSET RATES
2012-2020
BY WIN PROBABILITY

An Overview Of the 2019-20 Basketball Season

The SEC Season Overview

Current ANE Values Compared To Pre-Season ANE Values

The SEC Season
Game by Game

Projected Finish Per ANE and Pomeroy

Current ANE Ranking

An Early Look at the 2019-20 Wildcats
(Minus Johnny Juzang)

June 5, 2019

The SEC Tournament Is Just Around the Corner

Here is your Big Blue Fan Gateway To The Tournament

The Information Presented Now Is Projected Based On Current Data

The Information Will Be Updated as the Season Ends and the Tournament Plays Out.

ANE Top 20

AOE Top 20 Offenses (Left) (Right) ADE Top 20 Defenses

Since 2002, almost every NCAA Tournament Champion
has satisfied three efficiency based criteria:

1. A top 8 overall efficiency,
2. An ANE > 0.3 points per possession, and
3. An offensive and a defensive efficiency each the top 20

Three Teams currently have an ANE > 0.3 ppp

#1 Kansas #2 Duke and #3 Gonzaga

Two of them have offensive and defensive efficiencies in the top 20
#1 Kansas and #2 Duke

Which of these will rise to the top to claim the Championship in 2020?

Will additional teams emerge to challenge these current leaders?

The Current Top 100 Ratings
Based On ANE
With Relevant Details

Current ANE College Basketball Ranking By Conference

How do Major Conferences Compare In Team Rankings?

INDIVIDUAL EFFICIENCIES FOR SEASON
FOR ALL GAMES PLAYED TO DATE

Over the Last 18 Seasons, The NCAA Champion
Has Been The Most Efficient or
nearly the most efficient team on the season 15 times

10 of the 18 Champions have ended the season with the #1
Adjusted Net Efficiency (ANE) (55.5%)

5 of the 18 Champions have ended the season with the #2, #3, or #4
ANE (27.8%)

The 3 outliers were:
#8 Syracuse in 2003,
#10 UConn in 2011, and
#15 UConn in 2014.

These 18 Championship Teams
Have Demonstrated
A Consistent Profile
of Player Individual Efficiencies

THIS PAGE PROVIDES EVERY BIG BLUE FAN A GATEWAY
INTO THE 2018-19 BASKETBALL SEASON

The Data provided on this and other pages relevant to the current season will update
following each UK game and at other times as indicated by other activity in college basketball

How Have Kentucky Opponents And National Contenders
Performed and Trended Over the Last Decade?
Click Here To Explore

THE CATS
FOR THE CURRENT SEASON

All 2018-19 Opponents

2018-19 All Opponent Game Projections
Sorted On Theoretical Game Margin
(Lowest to Highest)

2018-19 Schedule with predicted and actual result
With Pre-game Margins Provided by ANE and Pomeroy

PACE
POSSESSIONS PER GAME

Kentucky Efficiencies by Game

College Basketball-NCAA D1
2018-19 Season Upset Rate
Daily Data/Results

Follow the 2019-20 Cats From an analysis of the roster, to pre-season predictions, and then game by game analysis.
You can use the following link to start the reading in sequence,
or you can select links to specific installments below:

Follow the 2019-20 Season
With Game to Game Analysis
In the Sequence Written,

OR

Go Directly To A Specific Installment of This Series:

THE DATA:

Last Game Box Score and Efficiency Data/Trends
for last 3 and 5 games as well as for entire Season

Rebounding Rates; Game-to-Game Grades;
Kentucky and Opponent Shooting Summary; Pace by Game;
Opponent Strength Summary Tables; Turnover Rates by Game; and
Efficiency Trends For Season

UK INTERIM STATS
COMPARED TO NCAA D1 AVERAGE Together with Summary
Tables for 1993 Through 2019

PREDICTED V. ACTUAL SCORES, MARGINS, AND TOTAL POINTS
FOR ALL GAMES IN THIS AND RECENT SEASONS

HISTORICAL DATA FOR ALL SEASONS
KENTUCKY BASKETBALL 1972 THROUG H 2019
TABULATED BY COACH

ANALYSIS OF KENTUCKY BASKETBALL
WITH TEAM AVERAGES FROM 2000 THROUGH 2019

Data for UK Teams 1996, and 2000 Through 2019 for Each Sort Category
Noted Below:

1. All Games, Including Exhibitions
2. All Games-D1 [No Exhibitions]
3. Home
4. Away
5. Neutral Court
6. Non-Conference
7. SEC
8. Pomeroy Top 50
9. Pomeroy Over 50
10. Post Season Play
11. Games Since Louisville Game, 2003-2018
12. SEC Tournament Gateway
13. NCAA Tournament

To Last Game's Box Score

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Use one of the Navigation Buttons in the Left Frame

What Is Basketball?

What is a Possession?

Why Do "Upsets" Occur?

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SugarHill Communications of Kentucky
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