BIG BLUE FANS FOR

BASKETBALL

 

An Early Look at the 2019-20 Wildcats
(Minus Johnny Juzang)

June 5, 2019

The SEC Tournament Is Just Around the Corner

Here is your Big Blue Fan Gateway To The Tournament

The Information Presented Now Is Projected Based On Current Data

The Information Will Be Updated as the Season Ends and the Tournament Plays Out.

 

 

TOP 20 ADJUSTED OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
(Offense on Left; Defense on Right)

 

Here is the Top 20 by ANE

 

Since 2002, almost every NCAA Tournament Champion
has satisfied three efficiency based criteria:

1. A top 8 overall efficiency,
2. An offensive and a defensive efficiency each the top 20, and
3. An ANE > 0.3 points per possession


CRITERIA 1. and 2.

Currently, 2 of the Top 8 Teams
Appear in both the top 20 offensive and top 20 defensive ratings



CRITERION 3.

Of these teams, five currently have an ANE > 0.3 ppp

#1 Ohio State , and #2 Kansas

Which of these two will rise to the top to claim the Championship in 2020?

Will additional teams emerge to challenge the two current leaders?

 

 

 

 

The Current Top 100 Ratings
Based On ANE
With Relevant Details

 

 

Current ANE College Basketball Ranking

 

How do Major Conferences Compare In Team Rankings?

 

 

INDIVIDUAL EFFICIENCIES FOR SEASON
FOR ALL GAMES PLAYED TO DATE

 

 

 

Over the Last 17 Seasons, The NCAA Champion
Has Been The Most Efficient or
nearly the most efficient team on the season 14 times

9 of the 17 Champions have ended the season with the #1
Adjusted Net Efficiency (ANE) (52.9%)

5 of the 17 Champions have ended the season with the #2, #3, or #4
ANE (19.8%)

The 3 outliers were:
#8 Syracuse in 2003,
#10 UConn in 2011, and
#15 UConn in 2014.

 

These 17 Championship Teams
Have Demonstrated
A Consistent Profile
of Player Individual Efficiencies

 

They have 8 players who both play
in a sufficient number of games and
log a sufficient number of minutes
to contribute to the team's success.

They have on average 1 player
with an individual efficiency
greater than 0.4 points per possession

They have on average 4 players
with an individual efficiency
between 0.2 and 0.3 points per possession

They have on average 8 players
with an individual efficiency
between 0.0 and 0.2 points per possession

They have NO CONTRIBUTING PLAYERS
with a negative individual efficiency!!!

 

 

 

THIS PAGE PROVIDES EVERY BIG BLUE FAN A GATEWAY
INTO THE 2018-19 BASKETBALL SEASON


The Data provided on this and other pages relevant to the current season will update
following each UK game and at other times as indicated by other activity in college basketball

 

How Have Kentucky Opponents And National Contenders
Performed and Trended Over the Last Decade?
Click Here To Explore

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

THE CATS
FOR THE CURRENT SEASON

 

 

All 2018-19 Opponents

 

2018-19 All Opponent Game Projections
Sorted On Theoretical Game Margin
(Lowest to Highest)


 

2018-19 Schedule with predicted and actual result
With Pre-game Margins Provided by ANE and Pomeroy

 

PACE
POSSESSIONS PER GAME

 

 

Kentucky Efficiencies by Game

 

College Basketball-NCAA D1
2018-19 Season Upset Rate
Daily Data/Results


 

 

 

 

Follow the 2019-20 Cats From an analysis of the roster, to pre-season predictions, and then game by game analysis.
You can use the following link to start the reading in sequence,
or you can select links to specific installments below:

Follow the 2019-20 Season
With Game to Game Analysis
In the Sequence Written,

OR

Go Directly To A Specific Installment of This Series:

01 What If Analysis for 2019-20 Season

02 Cats Open Exhibition Season Against Georgetown

03 Cats Last Tune Up for #1 Michigan State Against Kentucky State

04 Cats Face #1 Michigan State At MSG, One of Game's Biggest Stages

05 Cats Return Home with #1 Ranking to Face EKU

06 Cats Host Former Wildcat, Walter McCarty's Evansville

07 Cats Face Utah Valley On The Rebound From The Upset Loss to Evansville

08 Cats Need to Reverse Recent Decline in Play

09 Cats Want To Build On Mount St. Mary's Second Half Against Lamar

10 Will Cats Continue To Progress With Sestina Out?

11 How Will Cats Respond To 8 Days Since Last Game

THE DATA:

Last Game Box Score and Efficiency Data/Trends
for last 3 and 5 games as well as for entire Season

Rebounding Rates; Game-to-Game Grades;
Kentucky and Opponent Shooting Summary; Pace by Game;
Opponent Strength Summary Tables; Turnover Rates by Game; and
Efficiency Trends For Season

UK INTERIM STATS
COMPARED TO NCAA D1 AVERAGE Together with Summary
Tables for 1993 Through 2019

PREDICTED V. ACTUAL SCORES, MARGINS, AND TOTAL POINTS
FOR ALL GAMES IN THIS AND RECENT SEASONS

HISTORICAL DATA FOR ALL SEASONS
KENTUCKY BASKETBALL 1972 THROUG H 2019
TABULATED BY COACH

ANALYSIS OF KENTUCKY BASKETBALL
WITH TEAM AVERAGES FROM 2000 THROUGH 2019

Data for UK Teams 1996, and 2000 Through 2019 for Each Sort Category
Noted Below:

  1. All Games, Including Exhibitions
  2. All Games-D1 [No Exhibitions]
  3. Home
  4. Away
  5. Neutral Court
  6. Non-Conference
  7. SEC
  8. Pomeroy Top 50
  9. Pomeroy Over 50
  10. Post Season Play
  11. Games Since Louisville Game, 2003-2018
  12. SEC Tournament Gateway
  13. NCAA Tournament


To Last Game's Box Score


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Why Do "Upsets" Occur?

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SugarHill Communications of Kentucky
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