BIG BLUE FANS FOR

BASKETBALL

 

Current ANE College Basketball Ranking

 

ACTUAL ANEFINAL BY SEASON AND RANK

 

2018-19 TEAM PHOTO with DEPARTED PLAYERS  

 

The 2018-19 Cats Gets To A Four Game Test Drive Their
In the Bahamas. Here are the individual efficiencies,
updated after each of the four games.

 

 

Exhibition Games Individual Efficiency
An Early Warning Sign of Trouble Ahead For This Team

 

INDIVIDUAL EFFICIENCIES FOR SEASON
FOR ALL GAMES PLAYED TO DATE

 

3-POINT SHOOTING DEFENSE
(An Emerging Issue For This Team)

 

3-POINT SHOOTING DEFENSE FOR 2017-18
(Example of Typical Calipari Defenses)

 

KENTUCKY'S 3-POINT SHOOTING IN 2018-19
FOR ALL GAMES PLAYED TO DATE

 

 

Over the Last 17 Seasons, The NCAA Champion
Has Been The Most Efficient or
nearly the most efficient team on the season 14 times

9 of the 17 Champions have ended the season with the #1
Adjusted Net Efficiency (ANE) (52.9%)

5 of the 17 Champions have ended the season with the #2, #3, or #4
ANE (19.8%)

The 3 outliers were:
#8 Syracuse in 2003,
#10 UConn in 2011, and
#15 UConn in 2014.

 

These 17 Championship Teams
Have Demonstrated
A Consistent Profile
of Player Individual Efficiencies

 

They have 8 players who both play
in a sufficient number of games and
log a sufficient number of minutes
to contribute to the team's success.

They have on average 1 player
with an individual efficiency
greater than 0.4 points per possession

They have on average 4 players
with an individual efficiency
between 0.2 and 0.3 points per possession

They have on average 8 players
with an individual efficiency
between 0.0 and 0.2 points per possession

They have NO CONTRIBUTING PLAYERS
with a negative individual efficiency!!!

HERE ARE THE DATA

CLICK IMAGE FOR FULL SIZE VIEW

 

 

The Journey To #9 Begins With Big Blue Madness

 

 

 

 

 

See Similar Data for All SEC Teams in 2017-18 at this LINK

 

The Big Blue Family Photo
2017 Big Blue Madness

 

 

THIS PAGE PROVIDES EVERY BIG BLUE FAN A GATEWAY
INTO THE 2018-19 BASKETBALL SEASON


The Data provided on this and other pages relevant to the current season will update
following each UK game and at other times as indicated by other activity in college basketball

 

How Have Kentucky Opponents And National Contenders
Performed and Trended Over the Last Decade?
Click Here To Explore

 

 

THE WAY THE CATS FINISH A SEASON
DEPENDS UPON
HOW THE CATS START THE SEASON


Jay Bilas Lays Out The Formula For Success

The 2018 SEC Tournament Is Coming in March
Wednesday March 7-Play In Games (Bottom 4 Teams)
Thursday March 8-First Rouund Games (All But Top 4 Teams)
Friday March 9-Quarter Final Games (Top 4 meet 4 First Round Winners)
Saturday March 10-Semifinal Games
Sunday March 11-Championship Game

 

YOUR GATEWAY TO THE 2018 SEC TOURNAMENT
CLICK HERE!!!

(Will be activated in late February 2019)


(The Information Provided Until March 4, 2018 Is Based On Projected Final Finish AND Current ANE Data for Teams.
This will be updated at least weekly until March 4, 2018)

YOUR GATEWAY TO THE 2018 NCAA TOURNAMENT
CLICK HERE!!!
(Will activate in early March When Field Is Announced)

 

 

 

The Current State of the UK Roster
Projected Into The Out Years
AND
RECRUITING PROSPECTS
FOR 2018 THROUGH 2020

 

Scoring is the Product of Tempo and Efficiency
Here is How The Factors Have Varied

( Source: http://www.kenpom.com )

 

TOP 20 ADJUSTED OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
(Offense on Left; Defense on Right)

 

Here is the Top 20 by ANE

 

Since 2002, almost every NCAA Tournament Champion
has satisfied three efficiency based criteria:

1. A top 8 overall efficiency,
2. An offensive and a defensive efficiency each the top 20, and
3. An ANE > 0.3 points per possession


CRITERIA 1. and 2.

Currently, 6 of the Top 8 Teams
Appear in both the top 20 offensive and top 20 defensive ratings



#1 Duke, #2 Virginia Tech, #3 Michigan State, #4 Auburn, #7 Virginia, and #8 Nebraska


CRITERION 3.

Each of these 6 teams currently have an ANE > 0.3 ppp

Which of these six will rise to the top to claim the Championship in 2019?

 

 

 

Many People Say
"This Year There Are No Dominant Teams and the NCAA Is Wide Open"
Is that the case in 2019?
Is it really ever the case?

 

 

 

The Current Top 100 Ratings
Based On ANE
With Relevant Details


 

 

THE CATS
FROM AN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE

 

Current Individual Efficiencies

 

 

 

INDIVIDUAL EFFICIENCY FOR ALL UK PLAYERS SINCE 1996

 

THE CATS
FOR THE CURRENT SEASON

 

 

All 2018-19 Opponents

 

2018-19 All Opponent Game Projections
Sorted On Theoretical Game Margin
(Lowest to Highest)


 

2018-19 Schedule with predicted and actual result
With Pre-game Margins Provided by ANE and Pomeroy

 

PACE
POSSESSIONS PER GAME

 

 

Kentucky Efficiencies by Game

 

College Basketball-NCAA D1
2018-19 Season Upset Rate
Daily Data/Results


Summary Table Sorted By Probability Of Winning

 

Graph of Probability of Winning v Upset Rate

 

 

 

 

 

Follow the 2018-19 Cats From a Mid-summer analysis of the Bahamas Tour,
of the roster, to pre-season predictions, and then game by game analysis.
You can use the following link to start the reading in sequence,
or you can select links to specific installments below:

Follow the 2018-19 Season
With Game to Game Analysis
In the Sequence Written,

OR

Go Directly To A Specific Installment of This Series:

01 What If Analysis for 2018-19 Season

02 Exhibition #1 Against Transy

03 Exhibition #2 Against IUP

04 Let the Games Begin; Kentucky Duke Square Off In Champions Classic

05 After Being AWOL Against Duke and SIU, Cats Come Out of Hiding To Take Down North Dakota

06 The Cats Came Out of Hiding Against SIU; Will The Cats Sustain That Effort Against VMI

07 The Cats Slip Into Bad Habits Again; Are These The Real Cats in 2018-19?

08 The Cats' Bad Habits Continue Their Slide.
Can They Reverse This Trend Against Tennessee State?

09 The Get Their Last Cupcake of the Season against Monmouth

10 Cats Face UNC Greensboro, Their Toughest Opponent Since The Opening Game

11 Cats Continue To Raise The Level Of Opposition, Face Seton Hall in MSG

THE DATA:

Last Game Box Score and Efficiency Data/Trends
for last 3 and 5 games as well as for entire Season

Rebounding Rates; Game-to-Game Grades;
Kentucky and Opponent Shooting Summary; Pace by Game;
Opponent Strength Summary Tables; Turnover Rates by Game; and
Efficiency Trends For Season

UK 2016-17 INTERIM STATS
COMPARED TO NCAA D1 AVERAGE Together with Summary
Tables for 1993 Through 2017

PREDICTED V. ACTUAL SCORES, MARGINS, AND TOTAL POINTS
FOR ALL GAMES IN THIS AND RECENT SEASONS

HISTORICAL DATA FOR ALL SEASONS
KENTUCKY BASKETBALL 1972 THROUG H 2017
TABULATED BY COACH

ANALYSIS OF KENTUCKY BASKETBALL
WITH TEAM AVERAGES FROM 2000 THROUGH 2017

Data for UK Teams 1996, and 2000 Through 2017 for Each Sort Category
Noted Below:

  1. All Games, Including Exhibitions
  2. All Games-D1 [No Exhibitions]
  3. Home
  4. Away
  5. Neutral Court
  6. Non-Conference
  7. SEC
  8. Pomeroy Top 50
  9. Pomeroy Over 50
  10. Post Season Play
  11. Games Since Louisville Game, 2003-2018
  12. SEC Tournament Gateway
  13. NCAA Tournament


To Last Game's Box Score


RETURN TO THE
NEWS INDEX


Buttons at the Bottom of Each Page.
To Return to "BigBlueFans4UK" Domain,
Use one of the Navigation Buttons in the Left Frame

What Is Basketball?

What is a Possession?

Why Do "Upsets" Occur?

Go Back

Copyright 2018
SugarHill Communications of Kentucky
All Rights Reserved