BIG BLUE FANS FOR
SPECIAL NOTICE TO THOSE VIEWING THIS PAGE
A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE CONTENT CURRENTLY SHOWS 2017-18 INFORMATION.
AS WE MOVE INTO THE 2018-19 SEASON, THE INFORMATION FROM THE PRIOR SEASON
WILL BE REPLACED WITH CURRENT INFORMATION AS THAT INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE.
The 2018-19 Cats Gets To A Four Game Test Drive Their
In the Bahamas. Here are the individual efficiencies,
updated after each of the four games.
Over the Last 17 Seasons,
The NCAA Champion
Has Been The Most Efficient or
nearly the most efficient team on the season 14 times
9 of the 17 Champions have ended the season with the #1
Adjusted Net Efficiency (ANE) (52.9%)
5 of the 17 Champions have ended the season with the #2, #3, or #4
The 3 outliers were:
#8 Syracuse in 2003,
#10 UConn in 2011, and
#15 UConn in 2014.
These 17 Championship Teams
A Consistent Profile
of Player Individual Efficiencies
They have 8 players
in a sufficient number of games and
log a sufficient number of minutes
to contribute to the team's success.
They have on average 1 player
with an individual efficiency
greater than 0.4 points per possession
They have on average 4 players
with an individual efficiency
between 0.2 and 0.3 points per possession
They have on average 8 players
with an individual efficiency
between 0.0 and 0.2 points per possession
They have NO CONTRIBUTING PLAYERS
with a negative individual efficiency!!!
HERE ARE THE DATA
The Journey To #9 Begins With Big Blue Madness
The Cats' Next Opponent Is Missouri at Rupp on Saturday night at 8:15 PM
Here are the Missouri Game to Game ANE Graph and a comparison with the Cats'
NOTE: Mississippi started the season in a declining trend for 10 games and then reversed course into a rising trend for the next 10 games. Since game 21, Mississippi has been in decline again until stabilizing for the last 4 games at about its current efficiency. This is an 8 point match up on a neutral court.
See Similar Data for All SEC Teams in 2017-18 at this LINK
The Big Blue Family Photo
2017 Big Blue Madness
Coach Cal Meets With the 2017-18 Team for the first time on July 22, 2017
THIS PAGE PROVIDES EVERY BIG BLUE FAN A GATEWAY
INTO THE 2017-18 BASKETBALL SEASON
NOTE: Remainder of This Gateway Will Be Updated Prior to the 2017-18 Season
The Data provided on this and other pages relevant to the current season will update
following each UK game and at other times as indicated by other activity in college basketball
How Have UK Teams Performed Over the Years?
How Have Kentucky Opponents And National Contenders
Performed and Trended Over the Last Decade?
Click Here To Explore
Ken Pomeroy's algorythm for projecting pre-season rankings yields the following top 10 for the 2017-18 season.
I have added Pomeroy's Pre-season rankings to the table above. Two (Kansas and Duke) of the ANE top 10
are not included in the Pomeroy Top 10. Pomeroy includes West Virginia (ANE#16) and Florida (ANE#12)
in his top 10 in place of Kansas and Duke. Very Interesting.
UK (Especially During the Calipari Era) Provides a Route To The NBA For Players
Jay Bilas Lays Out The Formula For Success
The 2018 SEC Tournament Is Coming in March
Wednesday March 7-Play In Games (Bottom 4 Teams)
Thursday March 8-First Rouund Games (All But Top 4 Teams)
Friday March 9-Quarter Final Games (Top 4 meet 4 First Round Winners)
Saturday March 10-Semifinal Games
Sunday March 11-Championship Game
YOUR GATEWAY TO THE 2018 SEC TOURNAMENT
(The Information Provided Until March 4, 2018 Is Based On Projected Final Finish AND Current ANE Data for Teams.
This will be updated at least weekly until March 4, 2018)
YOUR GATEWAY TO THE 2018 NCAA TOURNAMENT
(Will activate in early March When Field Is Announced)
The Current State of the UK Roster
Projected Into The Out Years
FOR 2018 THROUGH 2020
Scoring is the Product of Tempo and Efficiency
Here is How The Factors Have Varied
( Source: http://www.kenpom.com )
TOP 20 ADJUSTED OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
Since 2002, the NCAA Tournament Champion has met three efficiency based criteria
and Must Remain "alive" in the tournament field :
1. A top 8 overall efficiency,
2. An offensive and a defensive efficiency each the top 20, and
3. An ANE > 0.3 points per possession
CRITERIA 1. and 2.
Three Top 8 Teams Appear in both the top 20 offensive and top 20 defensive ratings
#3 Duke, #4 Purdue, #5 Michigan State, and #10 West Virginia
#3 Duke and #4 Purdue have an ANE > 0.3 ppp
Who will rise to the top using this criteria in March 2018?
Here is the Top 20
Many People Say
"This Year There Are No Dominant Teams and the NCAA Is Wide Open"
Is that the case in 2018?
Is it really ever the case?
The Current Top 100 Ratings
Based On ANE
With Relevant Details
CURRENT ANE RANKINGS
ALL 351 D1 TEAMS
End of Month ANE Rankings For All D1 Teams Through The 2016-17 Season
SEC Rankings Based On NGE
2016-18 Current Ranking
Top 4 Get Double Byes
Bottom 4 Get No Byes
Generally Top 40 Teams Get Into the NCAA
Teams Ranked 41-70 Are Hit and Miss For NCAA Invitations
Sometimes the truth does hurt
Read it and weep, all opponents
All 2016-17 Opponents With Pythagorean Rating
2016-17 All Opponent Game Projections
Sorted On Theoretical Game Margin
(Lowest to Highest)
2016-17 Schedule with predicted and actual result
With Pre-game Margins Provided by
Pomeroy, RPI Forecast, and Vegas Insider
Current Individual Efficiencies
INDIVIDUAL EFFICIENCY FOR ALL UK PLAYERS SINCE 1996
Kentucky Efficiencies by Game
College Basketball-NCAA D1
2016-17 Season Upset Rate
Summary Table Sorted By Probability Of Winning
Graph of Probability of Winning v Upset Rate
How Have The Pomeroy Rankings Worked Out
With Recent National Champions?
Very Well, actually, with the #1 rated team winning the
National Championship in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2012, and 2013.
In 2011, Connecticut came out of nowhere for an amazing run
to the Championship as the #10 rated team on the Season.
See the Details at this LINK!!!!
Follow the 2016-17 Cats From a Mid-summer analysis
of the roster, to pre-season predictions, and then game by game analysis.
You can use the following link to start the reading in sequence,
or you can select links to specific installments below:
Follow the 2017-18 Season
With Game to Game Analysis
In the Sequence Written,
Go Directly To A Specific Installment of This Series:
Last Game Box Score and Efficiency Data/Trends
for last 3 and 5 games as well as for entire Season
Rebounding Rates; Game-to-Game Grades;
Kentucky and Opponent Shooting Summary; Pace by Game;
Opponent Strength Summary Tables; Turnover Rates by Game; and
Efficiency Trends For Season
UK 2016-17 INTERIM STATS
COMPARED TO NCAA D1 AVERAGE Together with Summary
Tables for 1993 Through 2017
PREDICTED V. ACTUAL SCORES, MARGINS, AND TOTAL POINTS
FOR ALL GAMES IN THIS AND RECENT SEASONS
HISTORICAL DATA FOR ALL SEASONS
KENTUCKY BASKETBALL 1972 THROUG H 2017
TABULATED BY COACH
ANALYSIS OF KENTUCKY BASKETBALL
WITH TEAM AVERAGES FROM 2000 THROUGH 2017
Data for UK Teams 1996, and 2000 Through 2017 for Each Sort Category
- All Games, Including Exhibitions
- All Games-D1 [No Exhibitions]
- Neutral Court
- Pomeroy Top 50
- Pomeroy Over 50
- Post Season Play
- Games Since Louisville Game, 2003-2018
- SEC Tournament Gateway
- NCAA Tournament
To Last Game's Box Score
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What Is Basketball?
What is a Possession?
Why Do "Upsets" Occur?
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